June 4, 2016

Track Record

Q: What is your track record?
A:  Here is a link to SmashTrades Swing Trading Track Record for major ETF trades.  This is my predominant form of investing.  While trading high volume ETFs does reduce some potential upside, it also greatly reduces random downside (e.g. earnings calls, random mergers, downgrades, SEC investigations, etc) associated with individual stocks.  Individual stocks are recommended from time-to-time on this site, but should only be bought when the SmashTrades indicators indicate it is a good time to buy.

Q: What are some of your better calls for specific timing or specific stocks?
A: See some examples below.  But there are too many buy and sell points identified over the last seven years to truly capture them all.  Just take a look at my indicators when I post them for a period of time greater than a few years.

3/6/2009

In 2009, I was short until March 6th, 2009 at which point I exited all short sales due to concerns of a bounce soon.  The Stock Market bottomed three days later.

March 2009 Stock market bottom

Close to the Bottom Closing Short Sales

Account on March 6th at 11:00am, 2009

Account on March 6th at 11:00am, 2009

8/23/2011

In 2011 around the time Bernanke unleashed QE3, I sent an email saying I was buying the following stocks.  Many of them went up dramatically from that point forward – especially ALXN and JAZZ.  Check out the charts.

Stock Market Call in August 2011

Stock Market Call in August 2011

Here’s what happened:

Jazz goes up 600% from the buy point in 2011.

Jazz goes up 600% from the buy point in 2011.

12/3/2015 – Sell Call

More recently, on 12/3/15, I sent an email saying that stocks really weren’t looking good.

 

Stock Market Call on 12-3-2015 which came before heavy selling

Stock Market Call on 12-3-2015 which came before heavy selling

Here’s what happened shortly thereafter.  Selling off nearly 12% from 2098 to 1853.  At which point I identified a buying point.

Sell Call Made on 12-3-15

Sell Call Made on 12-3-15